In a video released on August 10 titled “My End Of 2025 ETH Price Prediction (Using AI) — You’re Not Bullish Enough!”, crypto analyst Miles Deutscher highlighted Ethereum’s recent breakout past the crucial $4,000 threshold. He believes this development signals a confirmed and structurally robust upward trend towards new all-time highs. Deutscher emphasized the significance of Ethereum achieving a daily close above this level, noting that it has not closed above this mark on a weekly basis since November 2021, which he interprets as a strong confirmation for a more substantial rally.
Deutscher approached the question of Ethereum's potential price increase by analyzing technical indicators and model-driven probabilities. He proposed an initial price target range between $6,000 and $8,000, suggesting that Ethereum is in a phase of catching up after other leading assets have reached new highs. He tentatively stated a price prediction of $7,000 but later favored a more methodical approach using probability distributions to assess potential price movements.
According to his analysis, the first model he referenced indicated a higher likelihood of Ethereum revisiting its previous high near $4,700 by 2025, with about a 75% chance. The probabilities for surpassing $5,000 were over 60%, approximately 30% for reaching $6,000, and single-digit percentages for breaking above $7,500, with a slim 1% chance of hitting $10,000 this year. Extending the forecast to 2026 significantly improved these probabilities, suggesting strong confidence in the $4,700 to $5,000 range, favorable odds for $6,000, and about a 40% chance for $7,500, with an 18% probability of exceeding $10,000.
Conversely, the analysis using the Grok model presented a more aggressive outlook, positing that the base case could be as high as $10,000, with a plausible top range between $8,000 and $15,000. Deutscher detailed the model’s parameters, stating that a rise above $4,800 would indicate a pursuit of new all-time highs, while a decline below $3,800 could undermine the bullish thesis. He cautioned that his own trading strategy suggests a tighter validation point, indicating that a drop below approximately $3,400 could jeopardize the bullish outlook in the short term. However, maintaining above $4,000 keeps the upward momentum intact.
Deutscher's projections rest on a series of macro and micro factors that he believes now favor Ethereum more than in previous cycles. He pointed out a substantial influx of funds into crypto ETFs, with around $17 billion in net inflows over the last 60 days, including $11 billion in July alone, particularly benefiting Ethereum. He also noted the potential for retirement accounts to access crypto, which could tap into a significant new buyer pool.
He framed recent U.S. policy developments as a catalyst for on-chain finance, citing the GENIUS Act as clarifying crypto asset regulations and expanding institutional yield strategies and tokenization opportunities. Deutscher views these developments as particularly beneficial for Ethereum, which he describes as the primary blockchain for asset tokenization and decentralized finance (DeFi), positioning ETH as a leading vehicle for investors seeking exposure to these trends.
In addition to these fund flows, Deutscher observed favorable market structures, such as stablecoins at all-time highs and short-lived sell-offs, alongside a potential shift in Bitcoin dominance. If this trend continues, historically it has indicated a broader rotation towards altcoins, with Ethereum positioned at the center. However, he noted that the market is unlikely to move in a straight line, anticipating fluctuations between Bitcoin strength, Ethereum catch-up, and a broader expansion of higher-risk altcoins, rather than a singular “altseason.”
Looking ahead, Deutscher predicts a likely second wave into 2026, aligned with key political and monetary events, while stressing the unpredictability of the market and the importance of clear invalidation points. Nevertheless, his overall stance remains positive, as the combination of structural inflows, regulatory clarity, and Ethereum's shifting technical landscape suggests a strong upward trajectory. He remarked that this momentum could be difficult to slow down in the short to mid-term, with the real “fear of missing out” phase likely commencing once ETH surpasses its previous peak of $4,800. As of the latest update, ETH was trading at $4,303.
