As of June 17, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern Time, Israel and Iran are engaged in their fifth consecutive day of direct military conflict, marked by ongoing missile strikes and air raids from both sides.
Current predictions from Polymarket indicate a 45% likelihood that the United States military will intervene against Iran before the end of June.
Market analysts are closely monitoring the escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, assessing the potential for a broader confrontation in the region.